Community-Acquired Pneumonia

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Prognosis

  • Outpatients
    • Young, otherwise healthy adults
      • Those treated as outpatients usually feel well enough to return to work in 4 or 5 days; almost all recover in 2 weeks.
      • Those with relatively severe symptoms may require longer to recover.
    • ~2–4% of those treated as outpatients experience a progression of symptoms and require hospital admission.
  • Inpatients
    • Patients generally stabilize within 3–7 days.
    • The in-hospital mortality rate from pneumonia is ~8%.
      • The most common immediate causes of death are respiratory failure, heart disease, and sepsis.
      • ~50% of deaths are related to pneumonia and ~50% to comorbid illnesses.
      • Pneumonia-related deaths are much more likely to occur during the first week of hospitalization.
      • Increasing age and evidence of aspiration independently predict both pneumonia-related and comorbidity-related mortality.
    • Factors independently associated with pneumonia-unrelated mortality include:
      • Dementia
      • Immunosuppression
      • Active cancer
      • Systolic hypotension
      • Male gender
      • Multilobar pulmonary infiltrates
    • Mortality associated with PORT score (see Treatment Approach)
      • Class I: 0–0.5%
      • Class II: 0.4–0.9%
      • Class III: 0–1.25%
      • Class IV: 9.0–12.5%
      • Class V: 27.1%
  • Mortality is related to the specific etiology.
    • Rates are highest (>50%) for P. aeruginosa, followed by Klebsiella spp., E. coli, S. aureus, and Acinetobacter spp. (all 30–35%).
    • Pneumococcal capsular serotype 3 is associated with a much higher mortality rate than serotype 1, as are group A streptococcal M serotypes 1 and 3 (compared with other serotypes).
  • Early, appropriate antibiotic therapy is associated with decreased mortality rates.

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